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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Author)

  • Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
  • 480 Page / Published 2008-02-28
  • Category: Non-Fiction , Assertiveness, motivation & self-esteem
  • ISBN: 9780141034591
  • Language: English
  • Format: PB
  • CD/DVD:
Quantity

36.50 GEL

Author
author
Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical and philosophical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on....

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.